(Sorry that this post rambles – it will give you a sense of how my mind works.) So – in no less than three ways, in three days, I’ve encountered a strange and alien gloom. A bright, funny Turkish woman I spoke to recently told me she is filled with great fear for the future of her country. She sees the party currently in power, AKP, as Islamists set upon remaking this secular democratic republic into Saudi Arabia, or , or Iran, or some combination of both. (I am not a fan of AKP, but I find some of their critics tend to paint with too broad a brush. Unlike the Iranian revolutionaries or Hezbollah or other folks who they’ve been compared to, they are patient, have a lot of internal division and rivalries, have a lot of powerful enemies, and have at least some agenda items that don’t quite fit the Islamist vision – getting into the EU and bringing the country’s human rights policies into line with Europe.) What’s more, she doesn’t see any opposition party as a significant improvement; they all to her look like various corrupt, unethical power-hungry factions.
Ace of Spades analyzes the situation with Iran, and finds the most likely scenario is Iran wiping out New York, Washington, Boston and Los Angeles in simultaneous nuclear blasts before the American people are stirred to take action against that nation. And I’m sure we’re familiar with the gloom amongst our friends on the left regarding Iraq. One of my favorite lefty readers regularly points to bad news from Iraq and concludes, there’s no point in staying, the situation will never get better, we had better cut our losses and get out. I’m tempted to agree – as I suspect anyone who hears the bad news – and yet pulling out would immediately bring about a) bin Laden and Zawahiri citing this as an example that Americans are weak, beatable, and that Allah is on their side; b) Iraq becoming a sectarian bloodbath that makes the current violence look like a tea party; c) Turkey invading northern Iraq; d) Islamists turning their focus and resources to driving us out of Afghanistan, and/or a coup in Pakistan to seize that country’s nuclear arsenal. Oh yeah, and oil would hit $225 a barrel.
Anyway – the common theme is gloom – the problems are intractable, there is no hope or light at the end of the tunnel; we are powerless in the face of this problem. I even admit succumbing to it a bit. I have a letter to the editor in Commentary magazine, noting that I increasingly suspect “public diplomacy” efforts to combat anti-Americanism are futile.
Anti-Americanism is, to me, something of a “pathetically impotent whiny loser” detector. I’ve encountered plenty of it in my travels here, in Europe and the Middle East. We Americans are the universal scapegoat. Not making enough money? Blame American corporations. Lack of opportunities? America, working with the Jews. Your military’s weak? Sabotage from the Mossad. Hit by a tsunami? Must have been triggered by an American underwater nuclear test. Bad weather? American pollution is causing global warming. Stub your toe? Cheney and the neocons moved the table into your way. The world is divided into two kinds of people: Those who believe they control their destinies, and take responsibility accordingly; and those who believe that it’s in the hands of fate, chance, or somebody else. There are plenty of the latter, both in America and abroad. Few of us want to acknowledge that the reason we’re not happy is because we’re lazy, or have made bad choices, or we drink too much, or don’t plan ahead, or that, in one way or another, we fail ourselves. We would much rather have some sinister external force to blame – be it blaming Mommy and Daddy, or society at large, or powerful conspiracies holding us back.
For many people around the world, America is their bogey man – except he doesn’t scare them, he reassures them. Their problems aren’t their fault. They can sit in the tea house all day in Egypt and bitch, complain, and spin conspiracy theories, or enjoy their 35 hour work week in France. Anyway – I find it tough to deal with this gloom. If I’m not quite an optimist, I always think that a solution can be achieved. (Certainly, the surest way to ensure a solution won’t be found is to deem the problem is unsolvable). Hell, if you want an example of incurable optimism, let’s talk football. I’m a Jets fan, and even in the face of what everyone predicts is a crappy season, I’m thinking, “If Pennington’s shoulder holds up, and he’s as good as people say he’s been this year in camp, and if Barlow can keep his mouth shut with the Hitler comments and just find holes and run through them, and if the new guys on the offensive line live up to the hype, and if Jerricho Cotchery is the rising star that he sounds like at WR, and if Laverneus Coles remains solid, and if they find somebody to just take up a lot of space at NT, and if they find a good fourth linebacker, and if the small army of talented young guys in the defensive backfield play smart… then we might just have a good year.”
I wonder if the American public is reaching this “we throw up our hands, the problem is intractable, we give up” stage, or whether this attitude is just more common on the blogs.
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August 27, 2006 - 9:34 pm
Sorry if this ends up being a duplicate post. I was typing a response when I lost what I was writing.
I do think that the gloom that Jim describes is much more prevalent in the blogs and among folks who are closely monitoring world events than it is with average Americans.
As I travel from coast to coast, I am hearing less and less about Iraq and 9/11. Iraq barely makes it on the news anymore and while 9/11 will be played up for the fifth anniversary, the American public has moved on from even a year ago when I started traveling for my new job.
After the latest terror threat where we learned of a plot to bring down planes with the contents of hair gel and sports drink containers, travelers in most of the country took one day to adjust. They dumped their toothpaste, took off their shoes to go through security and packed the planes again.
David Ignatius has been in Iraq for the last week and filed two surprisingly optimistic columns: Returning Some Order to Iraq’s Mean Streets and Iraq: Worth Some Waiting. On the other hand, the Democrat’s tote board for American military deaths is nowhere to be found since the 2500th death occurred in June. It is moving much too slowly to be effective.
A few weeks ago, it seemed as if Hizb’allah had defeated Israel both militarily and in world opinion. Yet, there has been no great swell of fawning press coverage about Hizb’allah since then.
Finally, the release of Steve Centanni and Olaf Wiig suggests that Hamas leadership understand that killing journalists does their cause no good. Hamas can control the terrorists if enough political pressure is applied.
There is much for which to be hopeful. I think that viewing the world through a computer screen or television newscast tends to block out the ordinary life that goes on in American, Iraqi, Turkish, and Israeli towns. Call me a cock-eyed optimist, and even though I, too, have moments of despair about the world situation, I think it’s all going to be alright.
August 29, 2006 - 1:44 pm
[…] Jim Geraghty as many of you know, actually all twelve of you ought to know by now, is a blogger whose work I very much respect and enjoy. This weekend the doom and gloom overtook him and he took some time explaining the gloom he feels. For many people around the world, America is their bogey man – except he doesn’t scare them, he reassures them. Their problems aren’t their fault. They can sit in the tea house all day in Egypt and bitch, complain, and spin conspiracy theories, or enjoy their 35 hour work week in France. Anyway – I find it tough to deal with this gloom. If I’m not quite an optimist, I always think that a solution can be achieved. (Certainly, the surest way to ensure a solution won’t be found is to deem the problem is unsolvable). Hell, if you want an example of incurable optimism, let’s talk football. I’m a Jets fan, and even in the face of what everyone predicts is a crappy season, I’m thinking, “If Pennington’s shoulder holds up, and he’s as good as people say he’s been this year in camp, and if Barlow can keep his mouth shut with the Hitler comments and just find holes and run through them, and if the new guys on the offensive line live up to the hype, and if Jerricho Cotchery is the rising star that he sounds like at WR, and if Laverneus Coles remains solid, and if they find somebody to just take up a lot of space at NT, and if they find a good fourth linebacker, and if the small army of talented young guys in the defensive backfield play smart… then we might just have a good year.” […]