Back in the U.S., caught up on political news, and on the heels of correctly predicting the outcomes of Iowa and New Hampshire, I thought I would offer my read of the crystal ball for Michigan.
Romney is going to win. McCain will finish second, and Huckabee third.
Romney’s victory will slow McCain’s momentum, and the media will start to reposition the race as wide open.
The winner of South Carolina, then, will matter less than who fails to win, and it may serve to narrow the field before Super Tuesday.
Oh, and BTW, I don’t have the foggiest idea what’s going to happen in Nevada.
At this point, Super Tuesday is shaping up as a gigantic mess that may not settle anything. Assuming Guiliani does well enough in Florida to stick around for another week, we could wind up with a series of regional winners. Guiliani could take most of the northeastern states, with Huckabee winning primaries in the south. That would leave McCain and Romneyy to fight it out for the rest — and to fight it out for second in places like New York.
And all of sudden, everyone is packing their bags for a convention. See you in Minneapolis!
Related Posts
» Florida Prediction
» South Carolina (and Nevada) Prediction
» A Visit to the News Void; Iowa & N.H. Predictions
» The Dem Race Won’t End Today
» Hillary is going to fight to the death
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January 14, 2008 - 8:34 pm
Welcome back, Marshall! The folks in Minneapolis and St. Paul are eagerly awaiting the arrival of the GOP convention goers, media, and pundits. Our beloved left side of society is already practicing for demonstrations. It ought to a great time!
Let me know if you need a tour guide…it’s not quite the unspoiled paradise of Ecuador, but we kind of like here: the eagles, the pine trees, the lakes, the home of cocktail ice cubes.
It will be an interesting convention with the biggest question being how many of the hopefuls will still be in the running come September.