Marshall,
1. I had to chuckle when you suggested Palin undermined the very “essence of who McCain is.” To quote the software programmers, this is not a bug, it’s a feature.
I’m going to break my own rule about not trashing the Republican nominee within two weeks of Election Day. What struck me from that New York Times article that started this discussion wasn’t the Palin selection process, but the way that Steve Schmidt suggested, and McCain embraced, the decision to suspend the campaign, call for postponement of the first debate, and return to Washington to jump deep into the mess that was the financial bailout bill. It was an issue McCain had limited familiarity with, and even more limited ability to influence the outcome. McCain seemed to naively think that Chris Dodd, Barney Frank, and Chuck Schumer would be eager to assist him in getting into a position to take credit for crafting a bipartisan compromise, and that the American people would hail a process that committed billions in taxpayer dollars to help out horrifically mismanaged financial institutions.
And then, of course, within two days of the unprecedented and surprising decision, McCain changed his mind, un-suspended his campaign, and appeared at the first debate.
In the weeks leading up to that decision, Obama surrogates and liberal bloggers had been describing McCain as “confused” and “erratic” with such synchronized frequency it suggested obsessive-compulsive disorder. And then, at the first real economic “3 a.m. call” of this election cycle, McCain behaved… confused and erratic. His behavior appeared to reaffirm his opponents’ criticism just as the public was really tuning in to the race. The equivalent for Obama would be for him to immediately have convened a meeting of his economic advisers William Ayers, Jeremiah Wright, and Tony Rezko, followed by a statement that the economic crisis was evidence that indeed, God was finally damning America. Obama, in fact, made what was (politically) the right call: He recognized his limited ability to shape the legislation, surmised the final product was almost guaranteed to be a political stinkbomb, and took as low a profile as possible. Three cheers for the guy who had the good sense to hide during the crisis!
“The essence of McCain” — gah, sounds like a cologne — is a weakness for media adulation, an obsessive belief that the bipartisan course is the right course, a casual disinterest in issues beyond his favorites; generally conservative instincts but boredom with deep thinking about philosophy or broader issues; an instinct to attribute bad motives to those who disagree; an allergy to explaining why he believes a particular course of action is right, and an inclination to take wild gambles whether or not the circumstances call for it.
“Undermining the essence of who he is” is one of Sarah Palin’s greatest accomplishments in this election year.
With all of that, you’re probably saying, ‘wait, if this is the case for him, why vote for him?’ Because we don’t need him, or Palin, to play the role of Savior of the Party/Movement/Country. We need him (or her) to play the role of Emergency Brake. (More on this below.) The Democratic Congress is in the driver’s seat of our national automobile, foot on the gas, accelerating faster and faster toward the cliff. A President McCain can at least grab and yank the parking brake; President Obama will be turning in the adjustable rear-view mirrors in order to reduce wind resistance.
2. By using Colin Powell as your keystone example of an anti-Palin conservative, you’re picking the guy who has the best claim to “sincerity of duty and honor.” You know who I’m talking about when I mention New York Times profiles (Buckley, glossing over personal controversies that might otherwise dominate the article) and appearing on the Colbert Report (Kathleen Parker, who has now asserted, sans evidence beyond the voices in her head, that sexual attraction was what spurred McCain to pick her. I very, very rarely second-guess those who sign my paycheck, but Parker’s column was unworthy of publication in NRO — or many other places).
We’ve discussed elsewhere, that Powell’s reputation as one of the most respected men in Washington has a glaring issue of his testimony to the United Nations about WMDs, and he himself has called it a blot on his record. Few of those who think less of Powell for that testimony would have given his reputation a second chance if he had endorsed McCain. By endorsing Obama, his ‘redemption’ for his role in the Bush administration is clear. I don’t doubt that Powell genuinely thinks that Obama is the better choice, but let’s not kid ourselves about his incentives for each choice.
3. “When good people stand up and speak their mind or profess a view that differs from the party line, they are ostracized.”
Can we agree that if you are a conservative, you seek to further the conservative agenda? And if you call yourself a conservative, don’t you have some obligation to not help advance the liberal agenda?
If you’re a conservative, and you are making an effort to elect Obama… what makes you a conservative anymore? Barack Obama is quite likely to take office with the Democrats having 60 votes in the Senate and a gargantuan majority in the House. Congressional Republicans will have little or no ability to stop he, Nancy Pelosi, and Harry Reid from enacting most or all of their agenda. And what part of that agenda is a conservative supposed to appreciate? “Spread the wealth around”? Card check, eliminating the secret ballot for the decision to unionize? The Fairness Doctrine? Opposition to school vouchers? Treating carbon dioxide as a pollutant? A mewling hesitation on nuclear power? Opposition to offshore drilling? A cursory at best reexamination of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae? An increase on FICA taxes above $250,000? Issuing driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants? Pledges to renegotiate NAFTA? Eliminating missile defense research? Requiring women to register for Selective Service? Pledges to meet without condition with every dictator, face to face, within one year? Need I get into his record on guns? Need I get into the talk of eliminating the tax advantages for 401(k)s, or raising the tax rate for most or all small businesses to 50.3 percent? A 25 percent reduction in defense spending?
What is conservative about Barack Obama?
Not only has Barack Obama achieved the rare task of making Bill Clinton look conservative; he achieved the near-impossible task of making Hillary Clinton look more conservative by comparison.
There was a time when I believed that as much as I might disagree with Obama on policy, that it would be good for the country to have an African-American president and that an Obama administration might improve race relations. Events have proven that belief wrong. Not only his surrogates but Obama himself have invoked the race card with disturbing frequency. McCain’s ad with Obama and Paris Hilton? Racist, his critics charge. His ad with Franklin Raines? Racist, Time magazine editors assure us. McCain’s ad tying Obama to William Ayers? Racist, too, according the Associated Press. If Obama wins, every routine criticism of the president’s decisions, standard-issue for the past generation, will be shouted down as a despicable expression of bigotry. This is a formula for lingering resentment, distrust, and a step backwards from what we hope to achieve.
Balanced against all of that, certain conservatives would have us believe that we should prefer… the candidate’s “temperament”? Quite reassuring, to know he’ll be calm and collected as he enacts more liberal policies than Clinton, Carter, and LBJ combined.
This is the “thoughtfulness” that I am unfairly ostracizing?
“With us or against us” can be deployed too often, but you have to have standards. I don’t often quote Frenchmen, but I believe it was Jean Luc Picard who said, “We’ve made too many compromises already; too many retreats… The line must be drawn here! This far, no further!”
After the election, it may be unfair to call a conservative who backed Obama a “traitor.” But it’s almost equally unfair for them to keep calling themselves “conservatives.”
Marshall, responding: Jim, I understand perfectly your point of view on this, but I cannot agree. You ask, what is conservative about Barrack Obama? I agree that a careful search would unearth nothing.
But I ask, what is conservative about John McCain? And I give the same answer. Therefore, if neither candidate is a conservative, on what basis can conservatives make their decision? You make a compelling case that we must do so on the basis of comparative risk. But again, what makes us think that the risks of a McCain presidency are any less than the risks of an Obama administration? You point to the possibility that McCain would surround himself with conservatives, and put conservatives in key positions. But that’s hardly reassuring given McCain’s hands-on, even meddlesome, style of running his campaign. And in the end, it will be his name on the laws that he signs. So I don’t find the possibility of McCain possessing better advisors at all reassuring.
On this, I am quite certain that we will not agree. You will point to McCain’s statements and record are argue that if he is not a conservative, he is at least more so than Obama, but no facts you can offer in this regard will convince me. Conservatives can look at the two candidates and find no natural home. And so they search their minds and their consciences and come to their own conclusions. I do not believe we should fault them for doing so. Indeed, I believe we are worse off if do.
And that takes me back to the larger point. Are we, as conservatives, better served by having men like Colin Powell and Charles Fried as a part of our coalition? Or should we chuck them out when they deviate from the movement view? I believe we’re better off recognizing that we do not have a monopoly on wisdom, experience or insight, and recognizing that thoughtful people can disagree, even on something as serious as a choice for President.
At this point, the conservative movement is only shrinking. The broad appeal has been lost. And if we can’t find room for men like Powell and Fried, I despair for our future. In that construct, we are far more likely to wind up like the Tories here in the UK: Perhaps winning the occasional election, but only on the basis of the opposition’s failings, not on the basis of our own appeal.
On final aside: I think your assertion that Colin Powell acted as he did on the basis of some desire to rehabilitate himself is unfair. Perhaps that will be the effect, but I feel quite secure in believing that such thoughts would have counted little or nothing as he considered his decision.